Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 657.024246 737.586113 827.040565 934.263084 1059.984083 1203.570509 1381.183888
2025-02-16 530.880967 636.022918 763.150166 930.282010 1147.401608 1424.450958 1812.275867
2025-02-23 472.571964 590.748509 741.957192 953.791214 1249.852191 1660.046850 2292.299626
2025-03-02 432.958212 559.826879 729.723330 980.552767 1353.543581 1908.962799 2843.547459
2025-03-09 397.493272 528.235744 709.973028 990.305425 1429.886026 2127.327633 3398.566452
2025-03-16 364.566080 495.545557 683.351165 983.995441 1477.537633 2305.810469 3929.955542
2025-03-23 343.087345 476.459193 673.458991 1000.401485 1562.028883 2559.706070 4671.237841
2025-03-30 313.947727 442.990129 637.873220 970.260827 1561.542912 2659.898746 5132.574572
2025-04-06 289.445548 414.278429 606.607481 942.894431 1560.699715 2757.468465 5616.615575
2025-04-13 267.109946 387.052655 575.084542 911.111860 1546.373436 2824.455225 6050.315969
2025-04-20 259.065284 381.561240 578.077156 939.709391 1650.549220 3157.754344 7271.580007
2025-04-27 248.571475 371.214588 571.888228 950.656248 1721.103432 3433.340947 8457.229380
2025-05-04 237.553161 359.625140 563.297321 957.584301 1787.877529 3724.855611 9862.617317
2025-05-11 225.308870 345.172830 548.615016 951.402799 1826.427400 3960.479478 11232.002134
2025-05-18 218.786551 339.856962 549.505126 975.746959 1936.930058 4411.873758 13655.312059
2025-05-25 213.183804 335.648702 551.909115 1003.293938 2060.034631 4936.906470 16786.104774
2025-06-01 205.685874 327.540856 546.323110 1013.338729 2142.764090 5372.916923 19929.870192
2025-06-08 196.737987 316.235880 533.750609 1006.840047 2182.766175 5691.580855 22822.939234
2025-06-15 191.235782 310.781605 531.928339 1023.737305 2287.161166 6257.987409 27721.545682
2025-06-22 180.757914 295.575121 509.924408 992.696015 2256.658952 6351.717675 29891.385756
2025-06-29 171.359465 281.869846 489.996369 964.518818 2230.007008 6454.374045 32291.506031
2025-07-06 162.132634 268.026427 468.942030 931.803069 2185.802435 6481.330732 34236.031532
2025-07-13 159.843632 267.104249 473.907130 961.239848 2328.193331 7289.494559 43705.314501